Match Analysis

Werder BremenvsBayer Leverkusen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
20%
34%
Werder Bremen winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
2.24Avg goals scored2.09
1.97Avg goals conceded1.84
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

2

Bayer Leverkusen xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Werder Bremen is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win46%
Draw20%
Bayer Leverkusen Win34%
BTTS78%
Over 2.580%