Match Analysis

Werder BremenvsHamburg SV

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
20%
24%
Werder Bremen winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
2.24Avg goals scored0.96
1.97Avg goals conceded1.90
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

1.5

Hamburg SV xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Hamburg SV?

Werder Bremen is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win56%
Draw20%
Hamburg SV Win24%
BTTS70%
Over 2.573%