Match Analysis

Werder Bremen vs Rb Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
33%
56%
Werder Bremen winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.80
0.30Avg goals scored1.33
1.96Avg goals conceded3.00
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

1.4

RB Leipzig xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

19%

00

14%

02

13%

11

11%

10

8%

12

8%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

WLLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Werder Bremenall timeRb Leipzig
3D
3W
4 Apr 26
Werder Bremen12RB Leipzig
23 Nov 25
RB Leipzig20Werder Bremen
10 May 25
Werder Bremen00RB Leipzig
12 Jan 25
RB Leipzig42Werder Bremen
11 May 24
RB Leipzig11Werder Bremen
19 Dec 23
Werder Bremen11RB Leipzig

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Rb Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, drew 3, and Rb Leipzig won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win11%
Draw33%
RB Leipzig Win56%
BTTS34%
Over 2.532%

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