Match Analysis

AEK AthensvsAS Roma

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
19%
51%
AEK Athens winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored2.99
3.21Avg goals conceded1.71
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AEK Athens xG

Expected goals

2.6

AS Roma xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AEK Athens's current form?

AEK Athens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AEK Athens Win30%
Draw19%
AS Roma Win51%
BTTS80%
Over 2.584%