Match Analysis

AEK AthensvsGalatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
19%
42%
AEK Athens winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.00Avg goals scored2.25
3.22Avg goals conceded2.95
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

AEK Athens xG

Expected goals

2.4

Galatasaray xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

1–3

5%

Home

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs Galatasaray?

Galatasaray is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AEK Athens's current form?

AEK Athens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AEK Athens Win39%
Draw19%
Galatasaray Win42%
BTTS82%
Over 2.585%