Match Analysis

AEK AthensvsReal Madrid

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
18%
54%
AEK Athens winDrawReal Madrid win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.00Avg goals scored3.59
3.21Avg goals conceded1.75
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AEK Athens xG

Expected goals

2.7

Real Madrid xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.6 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AEK Athens's current form?

AEK Athens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AEK Athens Win28%
Draw18%
Real Madrid Win54%
BTTS81%
Over 2.585%