AEK Athensvs
Real Madrid
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
AEK Athens xG
Expected goals
2.7
Real Madrid xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
2–1
5%
Home
AEK Athens
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.6 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AEK Athens's current form?
AEK Athens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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