Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
1.6
Lille xG
75%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
2–0
5%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 3.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Lille?
Arsenal is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League