Match Analysis

ArsenalvsLille

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
17%
21%
Arsenal winDrawLille win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
2.16Avg goals scored1.25
0.84Avg goals conceded3.42
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Arsenal xG

Expected goals

1.6

Lille xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Arsenal

Arsenal

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Lille?

Arsenal is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Arsenal Win62%
Draw17%
Lille Win21%
BTTS75%
Over 2.581%