Arsenalvs
Real Madrid
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
2.1
Real Madrid xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–2
6%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.6 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Real Madrid?
Arsenal is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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