Match Analysis

AS RomavsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
19%
33%
AS Roma winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
3.00Avg goals scored2.21
1.71Avg goals conceded1.48
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

2

Sporting CP xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Sporting CP?

AS Roma is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win48%
Draw19%
Sporting CP Win33%
BTTS79%
Over 2.581%