Aston Villavs
Borussia Dortmund
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.6
Borussia Dortmund xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
4.1 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
Aston Villa is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League