Aston Villavs
Fenerbahce
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.3
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.6
Fenerbahce xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
7%
2–1
6%
3–2
6%
4–1
6%
2–2
5%
4–2
5%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
4.1 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Fenerbahce
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?
Aston Villa is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League