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PaceStat/🏆 Champions League/Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
⚡ Match Analysis

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal

🏆 Champions League · Prediction & H2H Analysis

Win Probability

14%
31%
55%
Atletico Madrid winDrawArsenal win

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $1.9M volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Atletico Madrid
14%
30%
-16%
Draw
31%
—
—
Arsenal
55%
70%
-15%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

⚽

Atletico Madrid

No data

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

WLDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceStat does not facilitate trading or take positions.