🏆 Champions League · Prediction & H2H Analysis
Win Probability
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $1.9M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Away
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi odds
Who is favored to win Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceStat does not facilitate trading or take positions.