Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsBayern Munich

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
20%
37%
Atlético Madrid winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.80
1.37Avg goals scored3.00
0.84Avg goals conceded1.94
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

2

Bayern Munich xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win43%
Draw20%
Bayern Munich Win37%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%