Atlético Madridvs
Manchester United
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Atlético Madrid xG
Expected goals
1.6
Manchester United xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Atlético Madrid
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético Madrid's current form?
Atlético Madrid have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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