Match Analysis

BarcelonavsComo

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
18%
37%
Barcelona winDrawComo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
3.37Avg goals scored3.26
2.26Avg goals conceded1.74
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Barcelona xG

Expected goals

2.4

Como xG

84%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

2–1

5%

2–3

5%

3–1

5%

Home

Barcelona

Barcelona

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.4 / 2.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Como

Como

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.3 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Como?

Barcelona is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barcelona's current form?

Barcelona have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barcelona Win45%
Draw18%
Como Win37%
BTTS84%
Over 2.588%