Match Analysis

ComovsParis Saint-Germain

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
18%
39%
Como winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.60
3.26Avg goals scored4.42
1.74Avg goals conceded1.79
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Como xG

Expected goals

2.5

Paris Saint-Germain xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

2–1

5%

2–3

5%

3–3

5%

Home

Como

Como

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.3 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.4 / 1.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Como vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Como is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Como's current form?

Como have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Como Win43%
Draw18%
Paris Saint-Germain Win39%
BTTS85%
Over 2.588%