Match Analysis

FC PortovsNapoli

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
20%
38%
FC Porto winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
0.75Avg goals scored2.04
1.96Avg goals conceded2.58
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

FC Porto xG

Expected goals

2

Napoli xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

FC Porto

FC Porto

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Porto Win42%
Draw20%
Napoli Win38%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%