Match Analysis

FC PortovsPSV Eindhoven

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
23%
39%
FC Porto winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.75Avg goals scored0.63
1.96Avg goals conceded0.58
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

FC Porto xG

Expected goals

1.7

PSV Eindhoven xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

FC Porto

FC Porto

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Porto Win38%
Draw23%
PSV Eindhoven Win39%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%