Match Analysis

FenerbahcevsLiverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
17%
54%
Fenerbahce winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
1.04Avg goals scored4.33
3.28Avg goals conceded2.58
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Fenerbahce xG

Expected goals

2.9

Liverpool xG

84%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–3

5%

3–2

5%

1–1

4%

Home

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

DDWLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.3 / 2.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fenerbahce's current form?

Fenerbahce have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fenerbahce Win29%
Draw17%
Liverpool Win54%
BTTS84%
Over 2.588%