Galatasarayvs
Aston Villa
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Galatasaray xG
Expected goals
2.8
Aston Villa xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
6%
1–3
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
Home
Galatasaray
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 2.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.1 / 0.8
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Galatasaray's current form?
Galatasaray have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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