Match Analysis

GalatasarayvsBarcelona

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
18%
43%
Galatasaray winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.25Avg goals scored3.37
2.95Avg goals conceded2.26
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Galatasaray xG

Expected goals

2.6

Barcelona xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–2

5%

2–1

5%

3–2

5%

3–3

5%

Home

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.4 / 2.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Galatasaray vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Galatasaray's current form?

Galatasaray have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Galatasaray Win39%
Draw18%
Barcelona Win43%
BTTS85%
Over 2.588%