Match Analysis

InternazionalevsLiverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
18%
43%
Internazionale winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.74Avg goals scored4.33
1.89Avg goals conceded2.58
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

2.5

Liverpool xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–3

5%

2–1

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.3 / 2.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win39%
Draw18%
Liverpool Win43%
BTTS83%
Over 2.587%