Match Analysis

LensvsBodo/Glimt

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
20%
38%
Lens winDrawBodo/Glimt win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
0.64Avg goals scored1.61
2.42Avg goals conceded2.72
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Lens xG

Expected goals

2

Bodo/Glimt xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Bodo/Glimt?

Lens is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win42%
Draw20%
Bodo/Glimt Win38%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%