Match Analysis

LensvsComo

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
19%
50%
Lens winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
0.64Avg goals scored3.26
2.42Avg goals conceded1.74
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lens xG

Expected goals

2.4

Como xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Como

Como

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.3 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Como?

Como is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win31%
Draw19%
Como Win50%
BTTS77%
Over 2.580%