Match Analysis

LensvsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
20%
46%
Lens winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
0.64Avg goals scored2.21
2.42Avg goals conceded1.47
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lens xG

Expected goals

2.2

Sporting CP xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Sporting CP?

Sporting CP is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win34%
Draw20%
Sporting CP Win46%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%