Match Analysis

LillevsBayern Munich

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
18%
50%
Lille winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.26Avg goals scored3.00
3.42Avg goals conceded1.94
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Lille xG

Expected goals

2.6

Bayern Munich xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win32%
Draw18%
Bayern Munich Win50%
BTTS81%
Over 2.585%