Match Analysis

LillevsGalatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
19%
41%
Lille winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.25Avg goals scored2.25
3.42Avg goals conceded2.95
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Lille xG

Expected goals

2.4

Galatasaray xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

2–1

6%

1–1

5%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Galatasaray is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win40%
Draw19%
Galatasaray Win41%
BTTS83%
Over 2.586%