Liverpoolvs
Villarreal
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
2.4
Villarreal xG
87%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
6%
2–1
5%
2–2
5%
3–1
5%
3–3
5%
4–2
5%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
4.3 / 2.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.8 / 2.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Liverpool is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 87%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League