Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsAEK Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
16%
21%
Manchester City winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
3.25Avg goals scored1.00
1.92Avg goals conceded3.21
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

1.8

AEK Athens xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

5%

1–1

4%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs AEK Athens?

Manchester City is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win63%
Draw16%
AEK Athens Win21%
BTTS79%
Over 2.586%