Manchester Cityvs
Napoli
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
2
Napoli xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
1–2
5%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.2 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Napoli?
Manchester City is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League