Manchester Cityvs
Paris Saint-Germain
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
2.6
Paris Saint-Germain xG
86%
Both Teams to Score
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–1
5%
2–3
5%
3–2
5%
3–3
5%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.2 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.4 / 1.8
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Manchester City is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 86%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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