Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
19%
32%
Manchester City winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
3.25Avg goals scored2.21
1.92Avg goals conceded1.47
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

2.1

Sporting CP xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Sporting CP?

Manchester City is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win49%
Draw19%
Sporting CP Win32%
BTTS81%
Over 2.584%