Manchester Unitedvs
AS Roma
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
2.4
AS Roma xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
1–3
5%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs AS Roma?
AS Roma is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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