Match Analysis

NapolivsBodo/Glimt

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
19%
32%
Napoli winDrawBodo/Glimt win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
2.04Avg goals scored1.61
2.58Avg goals conceded2.72
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Napoli xG

Expected goals

2.1

Bodo/Glimt xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Napoli is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win49%
Draw19%
Bodo/Glimt Win32%
BTTS81%
Over 2.584%