Match Analysis

NapolivsClub Brugge

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
19%
44%
Napoli winDrawClub Brugge win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
2.04Avg goals scored3.16
2.58Avg goals conceded1.73
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Napoli xG

Expected goals

2.4

Club Brugge xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

1–3

5%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Club Brugge

Club Brugge

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Club Brugge?

Club Brugge is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win37%
Draw19%
Club Brugge Win44%
BTTS82%
Over 2.585%