Match Analysis

Paris Saint-GermainvsGalatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
16%
21%
Paris Saint-Germain winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
4.42Avg goals scored2.25
1.79Avg goals conceded2.95
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Paris Saint-Germain xG

Expected goals

2

Galatasaray xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

2–1

5%

2–2

5%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

Home

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.4 / 1.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Galatasaray?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Paris Saint-Germain Win63%
Draw16%
Galatasaray Win21%
BTTS83%
Over 2.590%