Match Analysis

PSV EindhovenvsAtlético Madrid

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
PSV Eindhoven winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.20
0.63Avg goals scored1.37
0.58Avg goals conceded0.84
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

PSV Eindhoven xG

Expected goals

1.6

Atlético Madrid xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win PSV Eindhoven vs Atlético Madrid?

PSV Eindhoven is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is PSV Eindhoven's current form?

PSV Eindhoven have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

PSV Eindhoven Win41%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%