RB Leipzigvs
Manchester City
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
RB Leipzig xG
Expected goals
2.5
Manchester City xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
Home
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.2 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is RB Leipzig's current form?
RB Leipzig have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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