RB Leipzigvs
Shakhtar Donetsk
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
RB Leipzig xG
Expected goals
2
Shakhtar Donetsk xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Shakhtar Donetsk
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is RB Leipzig's current form?
RB Leipzig have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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