Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsShakhtar Donetsk

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
21%
43%
RB Leipzig winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.00Avg goals scored1.33
2.53Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

2

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win36%
Draw21%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win43%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%