Real Madridvs
RB Leipzig
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
1.7
RB Leipzig xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
3–1
7%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
4–1
5%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.6 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League