Match Analysis

Shakhtar DonetskvsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
21%
36%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.33Avg goals scored2.21
1.00Avg goals conceded1.47
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

1.8

Sporting CP xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win43%
Draw21%
Sporting CP Win36%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%