Match Analysis

VfB StuttgartvsAtlético Madrid

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
21%
30%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
2.17Avg goals scored1.37
0.62Avg goals conceded0.84
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.6

Atlético Madrid xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is VfB Stuttgart's current form?

VfB Stuttgart have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win49%
Draw21%
Atlético Madrid Win30%
BTTS70%
Over 2.571%