Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Villarreal xG
Expected goals
2.2
Napoli xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
2–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Home
Villarreal
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.8 / 2.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Napoli?
Villarreal is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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