Match Analysis

AnguillavsAntigua and Barbuda

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
18%
63%
Anguilla winDrawAntigua and Barbuda win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
0.53Avg goals scored2.80
3.22Avg goals conceded0.79
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Anguilla xG

Expected goals

2.5

Antigua and Barbuda xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

1–1

7%

0–1

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Anguilla

Anguilla

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Antigua and Barbuda

Antigua and Barbuda

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Anguilla vs Antigua and Barbuda?

Antigua and Barbuda is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Anguilla's current form?

Anguilla have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Anguilla Win19%
Draw18%
Antigua and Barbuda Win63%
BTTS67%
Over 2.573%