Match Analysis

ArubavsAnguilla

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
17%
17%
Aruba winDrawAnguilla win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.00
2.04Avg goals scored0.53
1.35Avg goals conceded3.22
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Aruba xG

Expected goals

1.3

Anguilla xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

6%

3–0

6%

Home

Aruba

Aruba

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Anguilla

Anguilla

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aruba vs Anguilla?

Aruba is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aruba's current form?

Aruba have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aruba Win66%
Draw17%
Anguilla Win17%
BTTS67%
Over 2.575%