Match Analysis

ArubavsMartinique

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
21%
28%
Aruba winDrawMartinique win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
2.04Avg goals scored1.26
1.35Avg goals conceded1.70
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Aruba xG

Expected goals

1.5

Martinique xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Aruba

Aruba

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Martinique

Martinique

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aruba vs Martinique?

Aruba is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aruba's current form?

Aruba have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aruba Win51%
Draw21%
Martinique Win28%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%