Match Analysis

BarbadosvsBermuda

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
16%
17%
Barbados winDrawBermuda win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.00
2.52Avg goals scored1.24
1.01Avg goals conceded3.24
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Barbados xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bermuda xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

6%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

3–0

5%

Home

Barbados

Barbados

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bermuda

Bermuda

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barbados vs Bermuda?

Barbados is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barbados's current form?

Barbados have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barbados Win67%
Draw16%
Bermuda Win17%
BTTS71%
Over 2.579%