Match Analysis

BermudavsBarbados

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
19%
56%
Bermuda winDrawBarbados win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game2.00
1.24Avg goals scored2.52
3.24Avg goals conceded1.01
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Bermuda xG

Expected goals

2.4

Barbados xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Bermuda

Bermuda

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Barbados

Barbados

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bermuda vs Barbados?

Barbados is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bermuda's current form?

Bermuda have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bermuda Win25%
Draw19%
Barbados Win56%
BTTS73%
Over 2.576%