Match Analysis

BermudavsSt. Lucia

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
20%
54%
Bermuda winDrawSt. Lucia win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
1.24Avg goals scored2.25
3.24Avg goals conceded0.94
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Bermuda xG

Expected goals

2.3

St. Lucia xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Bermuda

Bermuda

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

St. Lucia is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bermuda's current form?

Bermuda have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bermuda Win26%
Draw20%
St. Lucia Win54%
BTTS72%
Over 2.575%