Bermudavs
St. Lucia
CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Bermuda xG
Expected goals
2.3
St. Lucia xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
2–1
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Bermuda
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 3.2
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Away
St. Lucia
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
St. Lucia is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bermuda's current form?
Bermuda have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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