Match Analysis

CanadavsGuatemala

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
22%
44%
Canada winDrawGuatemala win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored2.18
0.00Avg goals conceded0.69
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Canada xG

Expected goals

1.8

Guatemala xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Canada

No data

Away

Guatemala

Guatemala

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Canada vs Guatemala?

Guatemala is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Canada Win34%
Draw22%
Guatemala Win44%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%